The Customer Loyalty Solution : What Works (and What Doesnt) in Customer Loyalty Programs

One of the most wonderful ways of managing customers is to set up a loyalty program. The basic idea is that customers earn some sort of points or miles based on their purchases, and these points or miles earn them rewards. The best loyalty programs also include status levels. Customers work hard to achieve various status levels.

Those who have read my previous books know how hard I worked to become Gold on American Airlines and how happy I was when I achieved this level. It meant that I got to upgrade to first or business class whenever I flew. I got to go on the planes first, with the little children and the old people. I earned bonus miles. I had a special 800 number just for us Gold folks, and I had Gold printed on all my boarding passes so that flight attendants and others would treat me with the appropriate respect. Readers will be happy to learn that because of all these books, I continue to fly all over the world. I have now become Platinum for Life on American. For some reason US Airways, which had joint arrangements with American for a couple of years, gave me Silver Preferred.

Now what is the effect on me of these loyalty programs? Well, they have me hooked. I never fly United or Delta or any other airline if I can help it. Why would I want to sit jammed into the back of the plane? So the effect of a successful loyalty program is that you get as close to 100 percent of your customers’ patronage as the customer can get. Now that’s customer management.

So how do loyalty programs apply to you, since you are not an airline? This is something that’s worth thinking about. Hotels and rental cars get into the act by awarding airline miles. The effect is not as powerful as it is for airlines, but the loyalty program really helps. Lately I have always sought out Hilton hotels because they let me double-dip. I get both air miles and Hilton points.

But most of the readers of this book are not in the travel business and want to know whether loyalty programs will work for them. I can report that loyalty programs seem to work in a number of areas, including

What do you need in order to get started?

Let’s look at some examples of nonairline loyalty programs.

Supermarkets

Most supermarkets today give their customers plastic frequent shopper cards. These are scanned at the checkout counter and permit the supermarket to build a valid database, giving it information on when and where you shop and how much you spend in each department. How do the supermarkets reward loyalty? There are several ways:

Specialty Stores

Shoe stores, dress stores, department stores, bookstores, and other types of stores have used loyalty programs with some success. Here, however, the process is more complicated and often less rewarding than it is for supermarkets or travel-related businesses. Let’s take the DSW Shoe Warehouse. I bought four pairs of shoes from its store in Fort Lauderdale. The store gave me a DSW paper card that I could use to get further benefits. I have never used it since—after all, I am not the shopper in our house. Helena is. But what has happened is that I now think of DSW when I think about shoes. It is because of the card, I think. I am sure that this card does affect customer behavior in a positive way. The rewards to the retailer are:

Surveys by the Carlson Marketing Group have shown consistently that while only 40 percent of consumers participate in loyalty programs, those who do participate have higher-than-average incomes, and, once they are involved, their behavior is affected by the cards.

Let’s see what a loyalty program could do for a retail store chain. Table 10-7 gives the picture of customers before the program is introduced. It costs $32 to acquire a new customer who makes an average of 1.4 visits per year and spends $50 per visit. The modest lifetime value of $3.00 in the first year rises to $29.42 in the third year.

Table 10-7 : LTV before Loyalty Program

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Retention rate

40%

45%

50%

Customers

200,000

80,000

36,000

Visits per year

1.4

1.6

1.8

Spending per visit

$50

$60

$70

Revenue

$14,000,000

$7,680,000

$4,536,000

Cost percentage

50%

49%

48%

Costs

$ 7,000,000

$3,763,200

$2,177,280

Acquisition cost ($32)

$ 6,400,000

Total costs

$13,400,000

$3,763,200

$2,177,280

Profit

$600,000

$3,916,800

$2,358,720

Discount rate

1

1.12

1.32

NPV of profit

$600,000

$3,497,143

$1,786,909

Cumulative NPV of profit

$600,000

$4,097,143

$5,884,052

Lifetime value

$3.00

$20.49

$29.42

Let’s now plan a loyalty program. We are giving on-the-spot benefits to members in order to modify their behavior. We are seeking to

To get these benefits, we are prepared to spend $5 per customer in the first year, with the amount increasing to $10 per customer for loyalists who have been with us into the third year. Table 10-8 shows what could happen. The program has cost us in the first year, but the third-year profits are substantial. Third-year lifetime value has risen to $41.78. The total profits from the program are given in Table 10-9.

Table 10-8 : LTV with Loyalty Program

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Retention rate

50%

60%

65%

Customers

200,000

100,000

60,000

Visits per year

1.6

2

2.4

Spending per visit

$55

$70

$80

Revenue

$17,600,000

$114,000,000

$11,520,000

Cost percentage

50%

49%

48%

Costs

$ 8,800,000

$6,860,000

$5,529,600

Acquisition cost ($32)

$ 6,400,000

Database costs

$ 500,000

$ 250,000

$ 150,000

Loyalty program

$5.00

$8.00

$10.00

Loyalty program costs

$ 1,600,000

$1,600,000

$1,440,000

Total costs

$17,300,000

$8,710,000

$7,119,600

Profit

$300,000

$5,290,000

$4,400,400

Discount rate

1

1.12

1.32

NPV of profit

$300,000

$4,723,214

Cumulative NPV of profit

$300,000

$5,023,214

Lifetime value

$1.50

$ 25.12

Table 10-9 : Gain in LTV from Loyalty Program

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Old LTV

$3.00

$20.49

$29.42

New LTV

$1.50

$25.12

$41.78

Change

– $1.50

$4.63

$12.36

With 200,000 members

– $300,000

$926,071

$2,472,799

If you look closely at these numbers, you will see that a loyalty program is not a sure thing. If it works, we will get $2.4 million pure profit out of it. But for it to work, the number of visits per year has to go up, the spending per visit has to go up, and the retention rate has to go up. Will your loyalty program have these results? You had better test the program on a small scale at one store to see what will happen before you make a big mistake.

A loyalty program is not a lead-pipe cinch. For more on this subject, read Brian Woolf’s excellent book Customer Specific Marketing. A key point that he makes is that without adequate promotion to the customers and adequate benefits, the program will fail. This type of program is really directed at the frequent shopper who is not as interested in long-term benefits, such as a trip to Hawaii, as in immediate rewards.

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