Six Sigma and Beyond: Statistics and Probability, Volume III

Probability that value of the random variables X k will be less than or equal to a specified value X m .

where the capital letter F is used for cumulative distribution. If sample space is a finite number K of random variables:

x = {X 1 , X 2 , X 3 , ..., X k , ..., X m , ..., X K }

where we assume an ascending order: X k-1 < X k < X k+1 .

For example, if m = 2:

F (X 2 )

=

f (X 1 ) · W c + f (X 2 ) · W c

 

=

P (X 1 ) + P (X 2 )

 

=

P (X k ‰ X 2 )

Upper bound: m = K

F(X K ) = P(X k ‰ X K ) = 1

RANDOM EXPERIMENT

Two tosses of a coin.

Random Variable X k defined as number of heads. (Grouped data X k has a cell width of unity W c = 1.)

R.V.X k Prob. Fn. f(X k ) Cumulative Prob. F(X k )

X k < 0

P(X < X 1 ) = 0

X 1 = 0

f(X 1 ) = 1/4

F(X 1 ) = P(x ‰ X 1 ) = 1/4

X 2 = 1

f(X 2 ) = 1/2

F(X 2 ) = P(x ‰ X 2 )

   

= P(X 1 ) + P(X 2 )

   

= 1/4 + 1/2 = 3/4

X 3 = 2

f(X 3 ) = 1/4

F(X 3 ) = P(x ‰ X 3 )

   

= P(X 1 ) + P(X 2 ) + P(X 3 )

   

= 1/4 + 1/2 + 1/4 = 1

Figure 16.3 shows the cumulative distribution of two tosses of a coin.

Figure 16.3: Cumulative distribution of two tosses of a coin.

RANDOM EXPERIMENT

Toss a pair of fair dice.

Individual Sample S i : Defined as sum of face values on pair of six-sided dice.

S i = D 1 + D 2

Total sample space size : N = 6 — 6 = 36 possible outcomes

Random Variable X k : Is cell equal to a specific value of S i

X k= {S i } = {D 1 + D 2 }

It is quite common in engineering to have numerical value samples.

Total number of Random Variables cells : M = 11

Range of RV: [X 1 = 2 ‰ X k ‰ 12 = X 11 ]

Other possible processes (and distributions) could include:

  1. Product: S i = D 1 · D 2

  2. Magnitude of difference: S i = D 1 - D 2

  3. Ratio: S i = D 1 /D 2

Random Variable: (X k = {S i } = {D 1 + D 2 })

X (Die 1 + Die 2) = X(Sum) = Sum = X (Sum-1)

Example outcome:

X ([Die 1 = 1] + [Die 2 = 2]) = X(1 + 2) = 3 = X 2

Consider an event A: Set of all RVs equal to 3

{X 2 } = {[1 + 2], [2 + 1]} = {3, 3}

Sample size of event A is therefore m = 2

Probability Density: particular event {X 2 }

f(X 2 ) = P(X 2 ) = m/N

or

f(3) = P(3) = 2/36

Cumulative distribution: for random variable X 2 = 3

F(X 2 ) = f(X 1 ) + f(X 2 )

or

F(3)

=

f(2) + f(3)

 

=

1/36 + 2/36 = 3/36

S i = D 1 + D 2 = Sum of numbers appearing on face cell: X k = {S i } = {D 1 + D 2 }

The probabilities associated with each cell are shown in Table 16.1

Figure 16.4 shows the probability density function and Figure 16.5 shows the cumulative probability function.

Figure 16.4: Probability density function.

Figure 16.5: Cumulative probability function.

Table 16.1: Probability Density and Distribution of a Pair of Fair Dice

R.V. X k

No. Outcomes with Value X k

f (X k )

F (X k )

2

1

1/36

1/36

3

2

2/36

3/36

4

3

3/36

6/36

5

4

4/36

10/36

6

5

5/36

15/36

7

6

6/36

21/36

8

5

5/36

26/36

9

4

4/36

30/36

10

3

3/36

33/36

11

2

2/36

35/36

12

1

1/36

36/36

 

Sum = 36

36/36

 

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